ECONOMY

Creative Destruction in a Nutshell
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 23, 2025
A good figure from the Nobel Prize Foundation’s Scientific Background to the Mokyr, Aghion and Howitt Nobel. The figure shows

ARIMA(1,1,1) in BLS Private NFP vs. ADP Based ECM
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 20, 2025
I estimated three models, 2021-2025M08, resulting in adjusted R2 of between 0.54 (based on ADP data) to

Democracy and Capitalism are Mutually Reinforcing
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 17, 2025
Many people argue that democracy is incompatible with capitalism but they differ on whether democracy will kill capitalism or whether

The Economics Nobel goes to Mokyr, Aghion and Howitt
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 14, 2025
The Nobel prize goes to Joel Mokyr, the economic historian of the industrial revolution and the growth theorists Phillippe Aghion

Memo from the Midwest: Thanks, Drumpf!
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 11, 2025
November futures for soybeans collapse upon Trump’s announcement: Source: barchart.com . Source link

The Free Press is joining Paramount
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 8, 2025
Announcement here, congratulations! And from the WSJ. And Katherine Boyle comments. The post The Free Press is joining Paramount appeared

Delaying Employment Situation Release, CPI Release Next?
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 5, 2025
Is the Administration secretly happy that the employment situation release was delayed? Without inside information, one can’t

Nowcasting Private NFP for September
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . October 2, 2025
We won’t have the BLS series for private NFP as of Friday. Can we use the ADP-Stanford

Guest Contribution: “Does the Zillow rent measure help predict CPI rent inflation?”
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . September 29, 2025
Today we are fortunate to present a guest post written by N. Kundan Kishor (University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee). The Divergence

AI and the FDA
- By fromermedia@gmail.com
- . September 26, 2025
Dean Ball has an excellent survey of the AI landscape and policy that includes this: The speed of drug development