ECONOMY

The Economy: When We Last Entered a Land War on the Asian Mainland

Employment fell as EPU rose; production stalls as Geopolitical Risk spiked. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment, 000’s (blue, left log

ECONOMY

Greg Mankiw’s Blog: Economic Theory Summer Camp

About Me Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University.

ECONOMY

Podcast with Jake Sullivan and Jon Finer

Mostly about geopolitics, plenty of fresh content.  And here is the transcript.  Excerpt: Jon Finer: Should the United States be

ECONOMY

Brazil facts of the day

Pensions cost the government 10% of GDP.  If no reforms are made by 2050, Brazil will spend more on pensions

ECONOMY

Minimum wage hikes and robots

This paper studies how minimum wage policy affects firms’ adoption of automation technologies. Using both state-level measures of robot exposure

ECONOMY

Those new service sector jobs

Who needs to be a programmer, be hired to close the doors on Waymo vehicles: Or see here.  And more

ECONOMY

Households under Debt Stress: Two Pictures

From Bloomberg: Auto ABS prices, from Fitch:   Source link

ECONOMY

The Layoff Announcement-Labor Force Ratio and Recessions, 1989-2025

Using Challenger, Gray, Christmas data at quarterly frequency, normalized by civilian labor force. Figure 1: Challenger layoff announcements to civilian

ECONOMY

Effective tax rates for billionaires

Here is the tweet, here is the source data. The post Effective tax rates for billionaires appeared first on Marginal

ECONOMY

Nowcasting “Core GDP” | Econbrowser

From Atlanta Fed and Goldman Sachs, numbers that perhaps better represent the trajectory of  aggregate demand. Figure 1: Final sales